Derrick Van Orden
WI-3 Republican: Jan 6 Presence, Competitive D+2 District, 2026 Battleground

Derrick Van Orden

Derrick Van Orden is the Republican congressman for Wisconsin’s 3rd district, a historically Democratic seat he flipped in 2022. His Jan 6

Key Findings
Derrick Van Orden polling and approval data
R-WI-3
Party & District
~+5
2024 Win Margin
Agri.
Key Committee (Agriculture)
Toss-Up
2026 Projected Rating

Biography

Derrick Van Orden is a retired Navy SEAL who served 26 years in the United States Navy, earning the Silver Star for valor in combat. After his military career, he worked as an author and actor before entering politics, running for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district in 2020. He lost that race to long-serving Democratic incumbent Ron Kind by approximately 3 points, one of the closest margins Kind had faced in years, signaling that the district was more competitive than its D+2 baseline suggested in the Trump era.

When Kind announced his retirement ahead of 2022, Van Orden ran again and flipped the seat, defeating Democrat Brad Pfaff in what was one of Republicans’ pickup wins that cycle. He was re-elected in 2024 with a somewhat wider margin as Donald Trump carried Wisconsin, boosting Republican candidates down-ballot across the state’s competitive districts. The district covers western Wisconsin, including the college city of La Crosse and the Eau Claire area, as well as agricultural counties along the Mississippi River — a diverse mix of working-class communities, college-town liberals, and rural conservatives.

Van Orden’s tenure has been marked by controversy. His presence at January 6 events and subsequent combative public conduct, including an incident involving congressional pages, have generated sustained negative coverage and fueled Democratic recruitment for 2026 rematches. He has positioned himself as a MAGA-aligned conservative in a district that previously sent Ron Kind, a moderate Democrat, to Congress for over two decades.

Key Policy Positions

Veterans & Military

Van Orden’s 26-year Navy SEAL career is the centerpiece of his political identity. He sits on the House Agriculture and Veterans’ Affairs committees and has positioned himself as a strong advocate for veterans’ services, military readiness, and defense spending. His combat experience and Silver Star decoration give him credibility with veteran voters in western Wisconsin, a region with strong military service traditions.

Agriculture & Rural Economy

WI-3’s agricultural communities along the Mississippi River and in the district’s interior counties depend heavily on dairy farming and row crops. Van Orden has been vocal on farm policy, supporting the Farm Bill and programs relevant to Wisconsin dairy farmers. His Agriculture Committee assignment reflects the district’s economic priorities, though his Trump-aligned trade positions have occasionally put him at odds with farmers affected by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural exports.

MAGA-Aligned Conservatism

Van Orden has been a reliable ally of Donald Trump and a vocal supporter of the MAGA agenda, including restrictive immigration policies, opposition to LGBTQ rights measures, and criticism of federal spending and regulatory programs. His hardline positions on cultural issues have been controversial in a district that includes La Crosse — a college town and regional medical center with a more moderate political character — and may present an electoral vulnerability in a D+2 district.

WI-3 Election History: From Safe Dem to Toss-Up

Wisconsin’s 3rd district was a reliable Democratic hold for 26 years under Ron Kind, who built a moderate, constituent-service brand that kept the seat blue even as the surrounding rural counties shifted Republican. Van Orden’s flip came when Kind retired — not because the district fully embraced MAGA conservatism. Understanding this history is key to modeling 2026.

YearDemocratRepublicanResultContext
2018Ron Kind (inc.)Steve ToftD+19Kind's last blowout win; blue wave year
2020Ron Kind (inc.)Derrick Van OrdenD+3Closest Kind race ever; Van Orden signaled vulnerability
2022Brad PfaffDerrick Van OrdenR+6Open seat; Kind retires; Van Orden wins first term
2024Rebecca CookeDerrick Van Orden (inc.)R+5Trump carried WI; boosted Van Orden; Cooke ran competitive
2026TBD DemocratDerrick Van Orden (inc.)Toss-up (forecast)D+2 PVI; Jan 6 liability; midterm environment key variable

2026 Election Outlook

WI-3 is one of Democrats’ highest-priority House pickup targets for 2026. The district’s D+2 Cook PVI baseline, combined with Van Orden’s controversies and the historical precedent of Ron Kind holding the seat as a centrist Democrat for 26 years, give Democrats a compelling structural argument for recapture. In a midterm environment that may be difficult for the party in power, Democratic base to pick up this seat is high.

Democrats will likely field a well-funded challenger emphasizing Van Orden’s January 6 associations and combative conduct, contrasting with the moderate, constituent-service-oriented approach that Kind exemplified for the district. Most forecasters project the race as a Toss-Up or Lean Republican for 2026, depending on the national environment.

D+2
Cook PVI baseline
26yrs
Ron Kind held seat (Dem)
Jan 6
Capitol presence, 2021
Related Analysis
Wisconsin Polling & Races → Democratic Party Polling → Senate Approval Polls → Senate 2026 Race Map → Generic Ballot Tracker — Democrats +6.0 as of May 2026 → Party Identification Polling →

More to Explore

Watch: Rep. Derrick Van Orden Speaks on US House Floor

External resources: Derrick Van Orden on BallotpediaDerrick Van Orden on Wikipedia

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Generic Ballot Democrats47.8% Republicans41.1% D+6.7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis