The Transnational Desk
US Polling Data 2026
Generic Ballot · Trump Approval · Senate & House Balance — independent, updated daily.
209
Days Left
D+5.4
Generic Ballot
39%
Trump Approval
4
Senate Toss-ups
Generic Ballot D
47.2%
R: 41.8%
Trump Approval
39.2%
58.0% disapprove
Senate Balance
53R – 47D
34 seats up
House Balance
222R – 213D
D needs +5
Top Story
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Key Swing States 2026
All 50 States →
Generic Ballot — 2026 Midterm Trend
Full Tracker →Aggregated poll average of all major polling firms. Updated daily. Margin of error: ±2–3pp.
Senate Battlegrounds 2026
All Races →Republicans hold 53–47. Democrats need +4 for a working majority. These are the make-or-break races.
Ron Johnson (R) defending
38% approval — D's clearest flip target. D+2 state.
Dave McCormick (R) defending
Won 2024 by 1.7%. Philly suburbs key.
Jon Ossoff (D) defending
Most endangered Democrat. Trump won GA +2.1.
Susan Collins (R) defending
D+7 state. Moderate brand under strain.
Thom Tillis (R) defending
Won 2020 by 1.7%. NC trending purple.
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All Races
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