Partisan Rating
D+15
Cook PVI / Presidential lean
2020 Result
Biden 59% / Trump 39%
Presidential election
Capital
Hartford
7 Electoral Votes
Presidential Election Results 2012–2024
| Year | D % | R % | Winner | Margin | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 59% | 39% | Biden | D +20 | Biden wins by 20 points; Fairfield County moves sharply D as college-educated suburbs reject Trump. |
| 2016 | 55% | 41% | Clinton | D +14 | Clinton +14; anti-Trump suburban surge begins in Fairfield. |
| 2012 | 58% | 40% | Obama | D +18 | Obama +17; strong performance across Bridgeport, New Haven, Hartford. |
State Voting Trend
Solidly Democratic since 1992. Hartford and New Haven anchor large urban D margins while suburban Fairfield County (NYC commuter belt) has shifted from competitive to lean-D over two decades.
Senator: Chris Murphy (D) • Governor: Ned Lamont (D) • Electoral Votes: 7 • Population: 3.6M