Zach Nunn
Republican — U.S. Representative, IA-3

Zach Nunn

Air Force Reserve officer; elected 2022; holds competitive R+2 Iowa seat; top D target 2026

R+2
IA-3 District Lean
2022
Defeated Cindy Axne (D)
USAF
Air Force Reserve Officer
Des Moines
Suburban anchor district
Key Findings
  • Zach Nunn (R-IA) holds Iowa's 3rd Congressional District, which he flipped from Democratic to Republican in 2022 by 1.4 points over incumbent Cindy Axne.
  • IA-3 is rated Lean Republican — covering Des Moines suburbs, it is one of Iowa's competitive seats in a state that has moved from purple to reliably Republican over the past decade.
  • He is an active-duty Air Force Reserve officer and former NSC staffer under the Obama and Trump administrations — a bipartisan national security background unusual for a freshman Republican.
  • Nunn serves on the House Armed Services and Agriculture Committees, reflecting both his military background and the agricultural economy of his Iowa district.
Zach Nunn, Republican Iowa congressman and Air Force veteran
Rep. Zach Nunn (IA-3) is among the top targets in the House 2026 competitive seats map. | USPollingData

Political Profile

Zach Nunn's 2022 win over Cindy Axne in Iowa's 3rd District was part of a broader Republican breakthrough in suburban Iowa — a pattern that has made the Des Moines suburbs significantly more competitive for Republicans than they were in the Obama era. His Air Force background and national security focus give him credibility on defense issues that help him in a district with significant federal employment and defense contractor presence. His state Senate experience before Congress gives him the legislative background that many freshman members lack.

Iowa's 3rd District is unusual in the 2020s Midwest: the Des Moines metro has some of the characteristics of growing Sun Belt suburbs (young professionals, college-educated, growing diversity) while the surrounding rural communities are among the most Republican in the state. Nunn's ability to thread this needle — maintaining conservative credentials for primary voters while pursuing bipartisan infrastructure and agricultural investments for general election credibility — will determine whether he can build the kind of long-term incumbent advantage that makes competitive seats safer over time.

Career Timeline

Year Event
1982 Born in Ames, Iowa; grew up in central Iowa
2004 Commissioned as Air Force officer; begins career in Air Force intelligence
2000s Serves on active duty; intelligence assignments; works with CIA on national security matters
2016 Elected to Iowa State Senate representing Polk County suburbs
2020 Re-elected to Iowa State Senate
2022 Defeats Democratic incumbent Rep. Cindy Axne in IA-3 by 2.5 points; Air Force background key to race
2023 Joins Armed Services Committee and Agriculture Committee; maintains Air Force Reserve commission
2024 Re-election; wins in similar environment
2026 Up for re-election; Democrats invest heavily in flipping IA-3 suburban Des Moines seat

Policy Positions

Issue Position Key Action
National security Hawkish Armed Services Committee; intelligence background; strong defense spending advocate
Agriculture Iowa farm priorities Supports crop insurance, ethanol, biofuels, trade agreements for Iowa farmers; tariff concerns
Fiscal policy Conservative Supports spending cuts, balanced budget amendments, tax reductions for businesses
China/Tech Hawkish Intel background informs aggressive China stance; supports semiconductor investment
Healthcare Market-based Opposed ACA; supports market competition, price transparency, HSAs
Bipartisanship Selective Occasional crossover on defense-adjacent issues; otherwise mainstream House Republican
Background

Air Force Intel Officer in Congress

Zach Nunn grew up in Iowa and built a career in Air Force intelligence, including work with the CIA on national security matters. He served in the Iowa State Senate before winning his congressional seat in 2022 by defeating Democratic incumbent Cindy Axne. His military and intelligence background differentiates him from typical suburban Republican politicians and gives him credibility on national security issues that can be valuable in a swing states.

District Profile

Suburban Des Moines — Swing Territory

IA-3 covers the Des Moines suburbs including Ankeny, West Des Moines, and Urbandale, plus agricultural counties in southwestern Iowa. The district has a mix of college-educated suburban voters, insurance and financial services workers (Des Moines is a major insurance hub), and rural communities. Suburban voters have trended Democratic in presidential years but the Trump realignment has moved IA-3 rightward overall, creating an R+2 lean.

2026 Outlook

Prime Democratic Target in Midterm

IA-3 is consistently on the DCCC's target list and in a favorable environment for Democrats — a midterm with a Republican president — it could flip. Nunn's slim 2022 margin and the suburban nature of the district make it competitive. Watch the generic ballot tracker (Democrats +6 as of May 2026) for the national tailwind. Democrats need strong candidate recruitment focused on economic concerns, healthcare, and tariff impacts on Iowa agriculture. See the full House 2026 competitive seats tracker. Compare to fellow Iowa-adjacent competitive district: Brad Finstad (MN-1).

Electoral History

Year Race Result Margin
2026 IA-3 re-election Up for re-election — top D target Lean R / Toss-Up
2022 IA-3 vs Cindy Axne (D, incumbent) Nunn 50.8% — Axne 48.3% R +2.5
Related Analysis
Iowa Polling & Races → Democratic Party Polling → House Race Polling → House 2026 Competitive Seats → Generic Ballot Tracker — Democrats +6.0 as of May 2026 → Party Identification Polling →
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Generic Ballot Democrats47.8% Republicans41.1% D+6.7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis