Demographics — Vermont

Vermont Demographics 2026

Population 647K — D+30 state. How the composition of Vermont's electorate shapes its consistent partisan outcomes.

91%
White Non-Hispanic
3%
Hispanic / Latino
2%
Black / African Am.
40%
College Educated
Vermont demographics

Key Demographic Indicators

Indicator Vermont National Avg Political Impact
White Non-Hispanic 91% 59% Varies by state
Hispanic / Latino 3% 19% Growing D lean nationally
Black / African American 2% 13% D+75 to D+85 nationally
Asian American 2% 6% D+40 to D+60 nationally
College-educated adults 40% 33% Strongly D post-2016
Urban population 39% 83% More urban = more D
Median household income $63,477 $74,580 Economic anxiety driver

Demographic Analysis

Vermont is the only state with an Independent senator (Bernie Sanders) who caucuses with Democrats. Gov. Phil Scott (R) is a moderate Republican who has won multiple terms in a state that otherwise votes D+30 for president — a rare case of split-ticket voting based on incumbent popularity.

In presidential elections, Vermont's demographic composition produces consistent D+30 outcomes. The state's New England character, economic base in Healthcare, Education, Tourism/Skiing, Agriculture (dairy, maple syrup), Green Energy, and urban-rural split all reinforce this partisan pattern heading into 2026.

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Generic Ballot Democrats47.8% Republicans41.1% D+6.7 Trump Approval Approve39% Disapprove58% Senate D47 R53 House D213 R222 Generic Ballot Tracker Trump Approval Senate 2026 House 2026 Latest Analysis